미국시장 모멘텀

날짜S&P 500NasdaqRussell
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○ 모멘텀의 변화는 주요 유동성 이벤트가 발생하고 있음을 시사한다.
○ 모멘텀 변화의 초기 단계에서는 원인을 파악하기가 어렵다.
○ 모멘텀 상승: 주식 시장의 순유입 (매수 > 매도)
○ 모멘텀 하락: 주식 시장의 순유출 (매수 < 매도)
    - 기간은 알 수 없으나 한시적임
○ 모든 지수의 모멘텀이 하락으로 전환되면 다음 4단계를 거치게 된다.
    - 1단계: 이벤트(원인) 확인
    - 2단계: 연준의 정책적 대응
    - 3단계: 기업 내부자 자기주식 매수
    - 4단계: 주식(현물) 매수시점